Castuera Subastacar B vs Siruela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 3
CAS
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
5 - 1
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 4
CAS
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
6 - 1
PUE
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ELA
3 - 2
CAS
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Siruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 3
CAS
20%
19%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
6 - 0
SIR
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAB
32%
21%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
SIR
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |