Castuera Subastacar B vs Siruela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 5
CAS
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
3 - 3
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
ELA
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SBA
3 - 2
CAS
57%
20%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Siruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
SMA
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 0
SIR
21%
19%
60%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 5
SIR
15%
17%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
0 - 1
SIR
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |