Castuera Subastacar B vs Castilblanco A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 1
CAS
40%
21%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
QUI
58%
19%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FMO
3 - 3
CAS
42%
21%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 4
CAS
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PGA
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
SBA
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SMA
5 - 1
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
QUI
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FMO
6 - 0
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |