Castuera Subastacar B vs Castilblanco A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 4
CAS
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
6 - 1
PUE
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ELA
3 - 2
CAS
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
SBA
43%
22%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PGA
2 - 2
CAS
17%
18%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 3
SMA
15%
17%
69%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
CAS
68%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAB
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |