Castroviejo vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
QUI
6 - 1
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAN
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
CAL
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
5 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
COV
28%
23%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 2
COV
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COV
4 - 4
NAV
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
COV
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COV
0 - 1
TAR
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |