Castroviejo vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
0 - 4
CAS
60%
19%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 0
GOL
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
PIQ
22%
24%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
PIQ
4 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 2
NOR
35%
21%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
2 - 0
ARC
53%
19%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
VIS
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
ARC
69%
18%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 5
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |