Castroverde vs San Justo CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AFR
1 - 2
CAS
25%
20%
55%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
CAS
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
JDM
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GNZ
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Justo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SRO
1 - 0
SJU
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SJU
2 - 1
AFR
31%
23%
46%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
SJU
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 3
LIE
7%
13%
79%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 4
JDM
8%
15%
78%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |