Castroverde vs Samano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
ROB
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PON
0 - 3
CAS
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 0
SRO
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
NUE
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Samano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MDC
3 - 1
SAM
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LIE
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 4
SAM
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
VEL
43%
22%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAM
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |