Castroverde vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
47.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 7
CAS
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
MNT
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MDC
2 - 4
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
SAN
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 0
SRO
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOC
6 - 1
SJU
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AFR
6 - 2
FOC
39%
21%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FOC
2 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
4 - 4
FOC
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FOC
3 - 4
JDM
66%
17%
17%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |