Castroverde vs Guarnizo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
46.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 3
CAS
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
CAS
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOC
31%
21%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 7
CAS
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guarnizo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GNZ
3 - 0
SJU
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AFR
0 - 2
GNZ
44%
21%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GNZ
3 - 1
CAS
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 2
GNZ
57%
19%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GNZ
2 - 0
JDM
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |