CD Castro vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RIB
2 - 0
CDC
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 3
ART
10%
17%
73%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CDC
1 - 3
STA
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BOI
5 - 1
CDC
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CDC
1 - 4
SOF
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NOI
2 - 1
STA
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BOI
1 - 5
NOI
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NOI
0 - 0
SOF
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 1
NOI
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NOI
2 - 1
AGO
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |