CD Castro vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
77%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VIV
6 - 0
CDC
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 0
AGR
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
7 - 0
CDC
88%
10%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 5
DUB
7%
16%
78%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDC
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 1
STA
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BOI
0 - 2
ARZ
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SOF
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 4
ARZ
22%
22%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARZ
4 - 0
AGO
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |