CD Castro vs AD Estudiantil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OUT
0 - 0
CDC
16%
22%
63%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CDC
0 - 0
BOI
64%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ART
2 - 1
CDC
36%
24%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CDC
4 - 2
ORD
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 0
AES
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AD Estudiantil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AGR
1 - 1
STA
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ASP
1 - 0
AGR
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AGR
1 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SOF
2 - 2
AGR
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AGR
2 - 1
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |