CD Castellón vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JOV
1 - 3
CAS
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAS
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 0
VIL
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
JOV
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |