CD Castellón vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GIM
2 - 2
CAS
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 1
CEM
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
RCD
1 - 2
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CAS
0 - 2
FCB
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAS
34%
32%
34%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 1
VCF
59%
22%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
AIK
0 - 1
VCF
24%
28%
48%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 3
VCF
34%
28%
38%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VCF
1 - 0
MAL
65%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |