Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-0
CD Castellón vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
LLE
3 - 0
CAS
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
CAS
1 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
BET
0 - 3
CAS
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1966 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
UPL
0 - 1
PUE
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
OSA
1 - 1
UPL
75%
15%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1967 |
UPL
3 - 3
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
UPL
1 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
RCF
0 - 0
UPL
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |