CD Castellón vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
63.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CAS
61%
25%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
PON
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
UDL
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 1
CAS
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
RAY
4 - 1
OVI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 2
RAY
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 1
LEG
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SAB
2 - 0
RAY
14%
23%
62%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
RAY
2 - 2
ALB
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |