CD Castellón vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAS
34%
29%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 5
ALB
52%
27%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
REC
2 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
SLA
1 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 0
RUN
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GIR
1 - 1
RAY
36%
30%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
RAY
32%
30%
38%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
RSO
0 - 2
RAY
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
RAY
3 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |