CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 0
CAS
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
ACE
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 2
CAS
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIB
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LLO
1 - 0
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
DEN
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOV
1 - 2
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |