CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUC
1 - 0
CAS
18%
26%
56%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALT
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
CAS
9%
22%
69%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
ELD
78%
15%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LLO
0 - 3
CAS
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOR
33%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
REQ
1 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |