CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
HOS
0 - 0
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
2 - 2
GIM
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
FIG
2 - 0
CAS
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAB
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
NOV
2 - 1
YEC
40%
28%
31%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MUR
2 - 0
NOV
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
MLL
1 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
NOV
1 - 0
HOS
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2000 |
NOV
1 - 2
GIM
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |