CD Castejón vs Alcala de Gurrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
40.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+886%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SJO
2 - 2
CDC
64%
17%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FRU
4 - 3
CDC
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
7 - 0
POS
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AYE
1 - 1
CDC
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
VAL
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alcala de Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FRU
1 - 5
AGU
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AYE
3 - 1
AGU
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
5 - 1
AAR
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TEM
4 - 1
AGU
50%
20%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 4
ALM
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |