Casas vs Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CLU
47%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 4
SER
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAS
3 - 4
CAS
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
XIR
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 2
TAV
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
MON
66%
18%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PUZ
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 4
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
SER
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 3
MON
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |