Carranza B vs Fomento Alumni C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
58.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LTV
4 - 5
CAR
21%
17%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 3
DAG
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 10
CAR
12%
14%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
BBA
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 1
CAR
19%
17%
64%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FOA
3 - 2
RCS
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LTV
0 - 6
FOA
15%
15%
70%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FOA
3 - 1
DAG
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 13
FOA
9%
13%
78%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FOA
3 - 0
BBA
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |