Carranza B vs Pegaso Tres Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
47.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LTV
5 - 1
CAR
26%
19%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
BBA
78%
12%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
EPB
53%
20%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
CAR
11%
14%
75%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAR
25%
19%
56%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pegaso Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PBT
1 - 5
MOR
61%
18%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VMS
1 - 2
PBT
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
PBT
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PBT
5 - 2
UDT
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 3
PBT
85%
10%
6%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |