Cariño vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
58.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
MOE
55%
20%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CUL
4 - 5
CAR
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
MON
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
XCA
1 - 5
CAR
34%
20%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 4
CAP
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NUM
0 - 0
NAR
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOE
1 - 3
NUM
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NUM
4 - 4
CUL
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
NUM
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NUM
11 - 0
XCA
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |