Cariño vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
NAR
1 - 1
CAR
59%
19%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAD
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ESO
0 - 2
CAR
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
MEI
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MEI
2 - 0
MOE
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
MOE
56%
20%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MOE
2 - 1
NAR
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SAD
6 - 1
MOE
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MOE
3 - 0
ESO
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |