Cariño vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EUM
1 - 0
CAR
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
VIL
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
CAR
49%
20%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
MEI
28%
21%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
CAR
12%
15%
73%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOE
2 - 0
VIL
58%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 1
MOE
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 2
MAN
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
MOE
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOE
2 - 4
CEB
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |