Cantalejo vs Turégano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantalejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 2
CAN
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
POL
48%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 0
CAN
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 3
ARC
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SEG
3 - 1
TUR
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 3
ESP
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
TUR
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
TUR
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 1
PRA
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |