CD Canillas vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
15º
13º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CVI
2 - 1
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
RMA
14%
18%
69%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 0
POZ
33%
26%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GET
3 - 3
CAN
78%
15%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
CDE
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
POZ
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
CDM
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
CDE
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDM
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |