CD Calasanz vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Calasanz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAL
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
TCD
76%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 3
CAL
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 3
FOC
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
JDM
3 - 3
CAL
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RSC
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEÑ
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
MDP
52%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 5
PEÑ
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
6 - 3
ADC
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |