Calasanz de Soria vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasanz de Soria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
UXA
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 0
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
COL
4 - 0
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AST
2 - 1
CAL
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEB
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 3
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
NUM
3 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
INT
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |