Calasanz de Soria vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasanz de Soria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SJO
0 - 0
CAL
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 4
INT
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 5
CAL
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CUE
0 - 3
CAL
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
6 - 0
LAS
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
LER
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEB
33%
27%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
ABE
67%
20%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |