Bugarra vs UD Paterna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
BUG
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BUG
3 - 0
BEN
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ANT
4 - 2
BUG
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BUG
4 - 1
BUR
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BUG
2 - 1
CLU
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UD Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
BEN
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RAY
1 - 5
PAT
34%
23%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
6 - 0
TUE
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BET
1 - 2
PAT
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIL
0 - 2
PAT
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |