Bugarra vs Naquera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 7
BUG
6%
12%
82%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BUG
2 - 1
CRA
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
BUG
2 - 2
BEN
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 9
BUG
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 1
BUG
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Naquera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAQ
1 - 2
VIL
35%
22%
44%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GOD
3 - 2
NAQ
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAQ
3 - 0
RAY
12%
16%
73%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
NAQ
1 - 4
CRA
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 5
NAQ
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |