Bugarra vs Tuejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BET
2 - 1
BUG
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
BUG
34%
23%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BUG
4 - 0
SIL
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
BUG
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BUG
3 - 1
BEN
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tuejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TUE
3 - 3
BEN
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TUE
1 - 0
RAY
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 1
TUE
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BET
2 - 0
TUE
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TUE
2 - 4
ROC
24%
22%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |