Bugarra vs R. Paterna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.5%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOS
2 - 6
BUG
14%
16%
70%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BUG
4 - 1
RAY
76%
13%
11%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BUG
4 - 2
VIL
69%
16%
15%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GOD
1 - 2
BUG
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BUG
5 - 1
NAQ
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
R. Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 5
VIL
17%
18%
66%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GOD
5 - 0
RAC
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 1
NAQ
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 7
RAC
45%
20%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 8
CRA
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |