Bugarra vs R. Paterna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
BUG
5 - 1
ROC
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SIL
0 - 3
BUG
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BUG
2 - 2
PAT
51%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
BUG
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BUG
3 - 0
BEN
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
R. Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
8 - 1
RAC
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 0
CFU
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
8 - 0
RAC
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 2
MON
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
6 - 1
RAC
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |