Bugarra vs Paterna B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 4
BUG
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BUG
3 - 3
RIB
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
RIB
1 - 0
BUG
41%
21%
38%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BUG
1 - 1
ANT
60%
19%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CFU
5 - 3
BUG
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paterna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PAT
3 - 2
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
PAT
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
CLU
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ALD
2 - 1
PAT
56%
21%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 4
YAT
20%
20%
61%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |