Bugarra vs Q. Manises analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 5
BUG
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BUG
4 - 4
LOS
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 1
BUG
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 4
BUG
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUG
2 - 2
GOD
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Q. Manises
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
VIL
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GOD
6 - 1
ATL
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
NAQ
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 3
ATL
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 3
CRA
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |