Bugarra vs A. Moncadense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+275%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BUG
4 - 0
VAL
27%
21%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AVL
2 - 3
BUG
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRK
3 - 4
BUG
36%
22%
43%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BUG
4 - 1
PTN
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PCF
4 - 0
BUG
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
A. Moncadense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
ELI
69%
16%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 2
ATM
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFO
1 - 5
ATM
34%
21%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 2
AVL
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 0
GNA
54%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |