Bugarra vs A. Moncadense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+269%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BET
2 - 4
BUG
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
8 - 1
RIB
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 0
BUG
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BUG
1 - 0
PCF
47%
21%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 3
VAL
54%
19%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
A. Moncadense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIL
3 - 1
ATM
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 4
PCF
44%
22%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
5 - 2
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
6 - 3
BEN
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CFO
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |