Bugarra vs Serranos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 1
BUG
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUG
4 - 3
VIL
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 3
BUG
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
BUG
2 - 0
BEN
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 2
BUG
41%
21%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Serranos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SER
3 - 2
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RUM
0 - 3
SER
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
ELI
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FOI
0 - 0
SER
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
GOD
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |