Bugarra vs Atl. Villar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 3
BUG
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
BUG
2 - 0
BEN
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 2
BUG
41%
21%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BUG
1 - 3
RIB
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PED
1 - 2
BUG
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RUM
4 - 0
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
ELI
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FOI
2 - 0
VIL
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOD
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |