Bugarra vs Atl. Villar B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
BUG
55%
20%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
BUG
4 - 2
CAS
76%
13%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BUG
4 - 0
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 4
BUG
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 3
SIL
50%
20%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Villar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AVL
1 - 2
RIB
33%
21%
46%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
AVL
91%
6%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AVL
0 - 2
PCF
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
5 - 1
AVL
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVL
1 - 1
BEN
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |