Bubal vs Soutopenedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MER
4 - 0
BUB
43%
23%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BUB
0 - 3
OUR
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BUB
4 - 0
CHA
40%
20%
40%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
6 - 0
BUB
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BUB
0 - 1
ALL
61%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Soutopenedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ALL
3 - 0
SOU
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
BMI
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 3
SOU
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |