Bubal vs Padrenda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
7 - 2
BUB
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BUB
2 - 3
MER
51%
21%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
5 - 1
BUB
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BUB
4 - 4
VIL
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
BUB
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padrenda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 2
MUN
21%
20%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
4 - 0
PAD
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PAD
3 - 0
CHA
34%
20%
47%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PSI
2 - 1
PAD
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |