Bovedana vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
47.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bovedana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDN
6 - 3
BOV
83%
10%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BOV
5 - 1
SPO
72%
15%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
BOV
41%
21%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOV
4 - 3
FRE
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
BOV
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
7 - 4
VIL
59%
18%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 4
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
90%
7%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 2
SAN
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |