Boecillo vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boecillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOE
2 - 2
RAY
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOE
4 - 2
UDS
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BET
2 - 2
BOE
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOE
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BOE
3 - 1
ATO
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UDS
4 - 0
UNI
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 3
BET
34%
22%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
AGU
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |