CD Boca vs UD Arroyofresno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.7%
61.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.8%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
NBO
6 - 2
CDB
52%
19%
29%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 4
MAS
43%
21%
37%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 1
CDB
41%
20%
39%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CDB
0 - 4
EPA
14%
16%
70%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FUN
3 - 2
CDB
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Arroyofresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
AYF
7 - 4
AUP
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CFB
4 - 1
AYF
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
EPA
5 - 1
AYF
72%
15%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AYF
3 - 4
NBO
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAS
1 - 2
AYF
31%
21%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |